South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bb72353f8260e030edf3c69ac074e41c5705ab9fd65c8ca8849dca563001baa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 32c | 2,012$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,516$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 1,206$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 68c | 603.87$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 18c | 550$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 25c | 268$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 32c | 221.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Over | 31c | 176$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Over | 31c | 111$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 24c | 55.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…2d88backed Under | 72c | 51.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 71c | 45.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb990…3d1cbacked Under | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Under | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 69c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 55cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Under | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Under | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Under | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Under | 71c | 20.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.