South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff907915a031b19b94e07703b437c4634ed6c751a911ef7094131b6673f8ff56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 720.12$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 36c | 552.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.05 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 53c | 284$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 266.21$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 61c | 131.87$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Yes | 40c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 81.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 61.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 41c | 60.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed No | 60c | 53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 39c | 46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 59c | 38.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed No | 60c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad2…d17fbacked No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 80c | 26.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c7…ffd7backed No | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed No | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed No | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. Racing Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.