Tennis · resolved market
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a89abf7afbc51e128dbb2af4679c552f7ea76bef4357884c0c07922ace118d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Aryna Sabalenka, Jessica Pegula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,015,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,115,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,015,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Jessica Pegula | 39c | 64,589$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,589.35 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aryna Sabalenka | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 24,230$15,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,075.59 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jessica Pegula | 64c | 23,292$14,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.29 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aryna Sabalenka | 50c | 21,491$10,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,682.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c3…600fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 21,243$13,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,383.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 56cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Aryna Sabalenka | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.54 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jessica Pegula | 59c | 19,577$11,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.8 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…7720backed Jessica Pegula | 36c | 17,624$6,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,279.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Jessica Pegula | 39c | 17,517$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.61 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Aryna Sabalenka | 14c | 15,484$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.52 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Jessica Pegula | 72c | 14,728$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aryna Sabalenka | 51c | 12,818$6,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,525.67 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 60c | 12,369$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,421.13 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Jessica Pegula | 37c | 12,160$4,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,660.78 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 11,800$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,946.75 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jessica Pegula | 52c | 11,715$6,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,646.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b2…4fffbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 47c | 10,423$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,863.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d97…f263backed Jessica Pegula | 60c | 9,867$5,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 9,811$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300.27 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Jessica Pegula | 45c | 9,715$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320.68 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Jessica Pegula | 58c | 9,644$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.34 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Jessica Pegula | 40c | 8,170$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,926.32 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Jessica Pegula | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Jessica Pegula | 52c | 6,717$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.14 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Jessica Pegula | 77c | 6,444$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.13 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 6,000$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 5,900$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.09 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jessica Pegula | 57c | 5,555$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.65 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 5,450$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Jessica Pegula | 37c | 5,293$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.66 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea1a…ac77backed Jessica Pegula | 59c | 5,254$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Jessica Pegula | 38c | 5,233$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,233.2 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 4,762$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be66backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 4,586$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 4,288$2,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.27 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Jessica Pegula | 78c | 4,203$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.5 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…701bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 4,140$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 3,519$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aryna Sabalenka | 44c | 3,399$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,481.73 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Jessica Pegula | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.16 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79bd…5c31backed Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Jessica Pegula | 78c | 3,033$2,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.3 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked Jessica Pegula | 68c | 3,032$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.98 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 55c | 3,008$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.49 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Jessica Pegula | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jessica Pegula | 50c | 2,735$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 2,621$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…f29bbacked Jessica Pegula | 77c | 2,569$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.27 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Jessica Pegula | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.23 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Jessica Pegula | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.05 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Jessica Pegula | 50c | 2,489$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.2 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 2,448$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.51 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Aryna Sabalenka | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 51c | 2,433$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Aryna Sabalenka | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Jessica Pegula | 58c | 2,298$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.37 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 22c | 2,248$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Aryna Sabalenka | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Jessica Pegula | 67c | 2,050$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.93 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 48c | 2,040$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.23 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 62c | 2,020$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aryna Sabalenka | 27c | 2,000$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 1,856$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.66 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…58a2backed Jessica Pegula | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…1d8ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 1,700$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be5…5c2abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 65c | 1,601$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 33c | 1,596$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.08 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 34c | 1,595$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 27c | 1,564$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.46 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Aryna Sabalenka | 64c | 1,556$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Jessica Pegula | 46c | 1,510$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 54c | 1,509$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.33 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 57c | 1,500$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 54c | 1,495$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Jessica Pegula | 57c | 1,444$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Jessica Pegula | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 52c | 1,369$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.02 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…c72bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 22c | 1,364$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jessica Pegula | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jessica Pegula | 52c | 1,314$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.01 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…64a3backed Aryna Sabalenka | 38c | 1,302$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 1,253$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.35 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 53c | 1,184$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.43 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Aryna Sabalenka | 3c | 1,184$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Jessica Pegula | 57c | 1,174$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.7 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aryna Sabalenka | 61c | 1,154$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.21 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Aryna Sabalenka | 35c | 1,152$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aryna Sabalenka | 57c | 1,133$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.67 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Jessica Pegula | 78c | 1,112$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.16 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Aryna Sabalenka | 57c | 1,090$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Jessica Pegula | 36c | 1,078$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.2 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 1,075$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.84 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 51c | 1,067$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.03 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegulathis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Sabalenka vs. Pegula: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Sabalenka vs. Pegula: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs PegulaPegula won
- Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs PegulaSabalenka won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.