Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfec104b5bb26e82bafbe84bd160b0f10a70f560f030e5ce2f718cc4ebf2a4ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 12,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 9,591$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,381.39 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 14c | 6,789$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 19c | 3,150$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 126 | 13.5%17 W · 109 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 3,010$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.04 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 71c | 2,557$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.83 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 18c | 1,549$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.82 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 1,198$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 18c | 1,097$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.13 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 57c | 1,050$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 76c | 784.36$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 20c | 693.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 20c | 693.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 646.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 18c | 617.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.11 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Yes | 54c | 565$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Yes | 80c | 559.95$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Yes | 57c | 500$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 79c | 310.34$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 10c | 309.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 18c | 294.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 22c | 274.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 56c | 249.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.72 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 8c | 246.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 245.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 19c | 207.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 205.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 44c | 197.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 16c | 185.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 170.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…6960backed No | 11c | 170$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 23c | 164.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 20c | 148.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…1d19backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 10c | 140.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 18c | 122$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 116.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 21c | 107$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 136 | 28.7%39 W · 97 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…49b7backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…77b7backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 78c | 84.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 25c | 78.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 80c | 72.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 78c | 70.74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 69c | 67.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked Yes | 60c | 66.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 29c | 64.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 39c | 61.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…9b47backed Yes | 79c | 56.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a66…48c7backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed No | 44c | 49.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 76c | 43.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…170cbacked Yes | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 80c | 36.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 66c | 29.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63d9…eea7backed Yes | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed No | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Yes | 59c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 71c | 23.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 75c | 21.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097e…f7e0backed Yes | 63c | 20.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +161.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 80c | 20.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Yes | 55c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4599…4152backed Yes | 77c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 65c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…28d3backed Yes | 72c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-11?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.