Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlek
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2edef5cdadd09971b336b9b7f8fa3a1a57725bafadccf1785c6c1a6d09550c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Bejlekof Aryna Sabalenka, Sara Bejlek
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $593,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 303 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Aryna Sabalenka | 61c | 50,174$30,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.98 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Aryna Sabalenka | 60c | 25,272$15,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,163.11 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 17,500$11,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,757.55 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Bejlek | 37c | 15,882$5,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,006.01 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed Sara Bejlek | 38c | 15,340$5,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sara Bejlek | 34c | 14,614$4,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,716.9 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8713…196bbacked Sara Bejlek | 15c | 13,340$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,338.89 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Sara Bejlek | 33c | 11,889$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,912.78 | 931 | 40.4%376 W · 555 L | -32.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Sara Bejlek | 40c | 11,111$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,666.61 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sara Bejlek | 47c | 10,807$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,735.28 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Sara Bejlek | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,900 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sara Bejlek | 48c | 9,949$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.87 | 1,143 | 46.4%530 W · 613 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…5fa9backed Sara Bejlek | 22c | 7,800$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,091.04 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Sara Bejlek | 24c | 7,183$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.21 | 411 | 31.9%131 W · 280 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sara Bejlek | 50c | 6,973$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.44 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 6,869$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.72 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Sara Bejlek | 14c | 6,786$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.71 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Sara Bejlek | 28c | 6,756$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,879.11 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 6,557$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,768.65 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Sara Bejlek | 27c | 6,539$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,749.53 | 271 | 54.2%147 W · 124 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aryna Sabalenka | 60c | 6,339$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 1,444 | 48.8%705 W · 739 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Sara Bejlek | 14c | 6,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 527 | 44.6%235 W · 292 L | +30.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 5,798$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.53 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Sara Bejlek | 9c | 5,223$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.53 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sara Bejlek | 13c | 4,500$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.12 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Sara Bejlek | 13c | 4,364$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.68 | 598 | 52.7%315 W · 283 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 49c | 3,631$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.6 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Aryna Sabalenka | 40c | 3,500$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 3,494$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.89 | 1,638 | 48.2%789 W · 849 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Aryna Sabalenka | 47c | 3,488$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…9259backed Sara Bejlek | 29c | 3,422$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +242.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 68c | 3,168$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.04 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5d…474fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 79c | 3,160$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,495.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Sara Bejlek | 12c | 3,098$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.81 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Sara Bejlek | 26c | 3,082$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.35 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Aryna Sabalenka | 60c | 3,000$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Sara Bejlek | 76c | 2,929$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.01 | 352 | 44.6%157 W · 195 L | -20.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Sara Bejlek | 75c | 2,609$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.21 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Sara Bejlek | 43c | 2,037$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.46 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6de6…d900backed Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Aryna Sabalenka | 56c | 1,998$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.87 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Sara Bejlek | 41c | 1,927$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.83 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Sara Bejlek | 48c | 1,890$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.48 | 305 | 44.9%137 W · 168 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Aryna Sabalenka | 52c | 1,831$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.2 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Sara Bejlek | 40c | 1,829$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.55 | 298 | 40.9%122 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Aryna Sabalenka | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Aryna Sabalenka | 78c | 1,494$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.85 | 844 | 68.5%578 W · 266 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Sara Bejlek | 13c | 1,459$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.4 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Sara Bejlek | 37c | 1,452$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.85 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 80c | 1,290$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.24 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Sara Bejlek | 24c | 1,248$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.82 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Sara Bejlek | 18c | 1,210$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 1,134$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.21 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Sara Bejlek | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…3f54backed Sara Bejlek | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Aryna Sabalenka | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…8b2bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Sara Bejlek | 35c | 998.45$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.87 | 1,013 | 36.5%370 W · 643 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Sara Bejlek | 21c | 988.29$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.58 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sara Bejlek | 41c | 974.92$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.41 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sara Bejlek | 43c | 914.45$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.49 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sara Bejlek | 24c | 892.81$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.54 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Aryna Sabalenka | 43c | 888$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.06 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Sara Bejlek | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Aryna Sabalenka | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 171 | 71.9%123 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Aryna Sabalenka | 59c | 824.99$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Sara Bejlek | 18c | 799.56$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.64 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Sara Bejlek | 22c | 795.87$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.9 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Sara Bejlek | 36c | 789.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.49 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 74c | 752.62$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.98 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sara Bejlek | 49c | 737.05$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.71 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sara Bejlek | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sara Bejlek | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Aryna Sabalenka | 67c | 699.98$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Sara Bejlek | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb624…3d80backed Sara Bejlek | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.67 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Aryna Sabalenka | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…9c72backed Sara Bejlek | 59c | 654.19$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 415 | 54.7%227 W · 188 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Sara Bejlek | 22c | 654.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.08 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 70c | 628.31$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.82 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Sara Bejlek | 14c | 600$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sara Bejlek | 16c | 524.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.94 | 904 | 54.4%492 W · 412 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Sara Bejlek | 11c | 499.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Sara Bejlek | 25c | 480$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 63c | 474.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Aryna Sabalenka | 69c | 469.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.41 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58a9…ed86backed Aryna Sabalenka | 61c | 459.02$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sara Bejlek | 46c | 436$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.57 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Sara Bejlek | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.5 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Sara Bejlek | 45c | 415.1$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.55 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Aryna Sabalenka | 39c | 413.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.02 | 520 | 38.5%200 W · 320 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…359dbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 61c | 413.08$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sara Bejlek | 51c | 409.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.86 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Aryna Sabalenka | 74c | 406.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sara Bejlek | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sara Bejlek | 49c | 384.8$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sara Bejlek | 12c | 379.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.06 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Sara Bejlek | 40c | 374.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.69 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekthis page
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Sara Bejlek: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs BejlekBejlek won
- Set 2 Winner: Sabalenka vs BejlekBejlek won
- Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Bejlek (+1.5)Bejlek won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.