Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7053c65a280da65f310ee5e920ffc0d5ae07781d171ae1a4faa9ea5c935b341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof FlyQuest, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 2,945$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 1,846$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.27 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed FlyQuest | 31c | 1,465$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.26 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed FlyQuest | 30c | 1,150$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed FlyQuest | 30c | 999.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked FlyQuest | 31c | 754.84$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Team Liquid | 70c | 676.53$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.96 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed FlyQuest | 31c | 632.08$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Liquid | 69c | 610.21$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.63 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Team Liquid | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Team Liquid | 72c | 519.39$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Team Liquid | 70c | 501$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed FlyQuest | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed FlyQuest | 29c | 470.33$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed FlyQuest | 31c | 438.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed FlyQuest | 27c | 430.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed FlyQuest | 30c | 424.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed FlyQuest | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 70c | 360$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Team Liquid | 78c | 359$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.92 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Team Liquid | 70c | 356.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FlyQuest | 12c | 335$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed FlyQuest | 29c | 314$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed FlyQuest | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Liquid | 70c | 293$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed FlyQuest | 20c | 285$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed FlyQuest | 30c | 280.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FlyQuest | 31c | 275.16$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 224$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FlyQuest | 13c | 224$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed FlyQuest | 31c | 180$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 144$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Team Liquid | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed FlyQuest | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked FlyQuest | 29c | 137.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed FlyQuest | 29c | 116$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked FlyQuest | 31c | 113.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 331 | 39.9%132 W · 199 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Liquid | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked Team Liquid | 70c | 101.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed FlyQuest | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 72c | 80.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed FlyQuest | 28c | 80.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Team Liquid | 70c | 71.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 239 | 46%110 W · 129 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed FlyQuest | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Team Liquid | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…9bf5backed FlyQuest | 28c | 36.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Team Liquid | 70c | 31.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Liquid | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a9…7ae1backed Team Liquid | 70c | 21.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 20.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed Team Liquid | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.