Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa526d9c9e96bd1b58e271d6dfeb8342526c7b0441eebc5c670222580e3c0ae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,092
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,092 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 27c | 5,758$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.69 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Over | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.66 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over | 73c | 2,738$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.26 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 73c | 2,247$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.78 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 31c | 1,500$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 27c | 1,033$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.82 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Over | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 301 | 60.8%183 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Under | 28c | 990$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…dc9ebacked Over | 73c | 609.99$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 73c | 542$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 28c | 480$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 73c | 422$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Under | 28c | 317.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 72c | 317.86$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 73c | 298$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.46 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 71c | 267.66$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 73c | 258.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 26c | 246.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Over | 75c | 230$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Under | 28c | 180.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Under | 31c | 179.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bf…991cbacked Under | 28c | 149.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 73c | 73.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…81d4backed Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 65 | 73.8%48 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Over | 73c | 54.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Under | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Under | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 458 | 41.5%190 W · 268 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Over | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 28c | 37.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -13.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Over | 72c | 29.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 72c | 28.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…707bbacked Over | 73c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…c8a0backed Over | 73c | 27.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Game Handicap: FLY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.