Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3780c08dea56989953d9ac83907d7fd2c68f93be5bac93983cb50e86a80dd92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 44c | 5,152$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.32 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 1,074$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.68 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 58c | 1,016$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.34 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…3ca0backed Under | 49c | 1,002$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.07 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…a357backed Under | 48c | 949.64$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.81 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 42c | 915.93$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.69 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 58c | 872.07$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.27 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Under | 50c | 770.03$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.03 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 45c | 761.38$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…d9c8backed Under | 58c | 679.47$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.38 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 644.41$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.84 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Under | 59c | 561.84$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.35 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 42c | 509$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Under | 49c | 501.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Over | 52c | 474.65$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.57 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…6c20backed Under | 49c | 415.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked Over | 50c | 394.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Over | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 111.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 52c | 107.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 43c | 84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 55c | 76.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Over | 42c | 70.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 59c | 57.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 58c | 50.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6287…4c79backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8d…15e4backed Under | 51c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Under | 74c | 41.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 374 | 58.8%220 W · 154 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 58c | 30.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 28.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 43c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 57c | 27.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 45c | 27.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 47c | 25.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Under | 55c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 56c | 18.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5 Cornersthis page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.