Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95a1a479c495b14833af55f758666cc40d7452771ebcc619d01c31e0c5ecca23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37d9…5442backed Over | 56c | 9,779$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,499.83 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 44c | 5,469$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.07 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 43c | 3,837$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.24 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…ac21backed Under | 46c | 1,662$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.29 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 44c | 1,135$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.85 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 55c | 782.47$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.2 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 43c | 749.95$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.47 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Over | 57c | 633.33$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 55c | 610.23$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 55c | 255.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.6 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 48c | 210.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…2bc4backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Under | 43c | 128.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.53 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Over | 52c | 121.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 43c | 120.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x557e…5007backed Over | 54c | 118.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 47c | 104.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 102.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 45c | 80.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…6506backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 70c | 44.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…0de9backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 54c | 26.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 1.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 13.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.