TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 6.5 Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,901

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,851 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x252e…1178backed Over48c639.71$305 inLost-$3051717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick36cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under58c475.06$275 inWon+$200.0610260.8%62 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Over37c312.19$116 inLost-$115.5129154%157 W · 134 L+21.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under63c250$158 inWon+$92.533154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c240$125 inWon+$115.22,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Under78c236.71$185 inWon+$51.71633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over22c196.96$43 inLost-$43.3380225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under52c174.47$91 inWon+$82.9940163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c147.96$77 inWon+$71.022,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x352c…940dbacked Under59c127.12$75 inWon+$52.129064.4%58 W · 32 L+9.7wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Under57c118.13$67 inWon+$50.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over43c109$47 inLost-$46.8737458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over41c101.43$41 inLost-$41.1243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c97.07$40 inLost-$39.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7895…e806backed Under72c92.33$67 inWon+$25.791442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over42c91.63$39 inLost-$38.734056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over42c89.81$38 inLost-$37.7220133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under54c82.19$44 inWon+$37.8651859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf6c…701bbacked Under58c76.82$44 inWon+$32.41747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…334ebacked Under68c73.53$50 inWon+$23.539548.4%46 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under52c60$31 inWon+$28.83,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over44c53.57$24 inLost-$23.523,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under68c51.21$35 inWon+$16.3926449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over42c40$17 inLost-$16.82,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Over41c39.61$16 inLost-$16.2423858%138 W · 100 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Under56c39.15$22 inWon+$17.235954.2%32 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over40c32.36$13 inLost-$12.942,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked Over43c30.74$13 inLost-$13.322969%20 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over43c28.62$12 inLost-$12.311,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c25.01$11 inLost-$10.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad60…cef3backed Under59c22.03$13 inWon+$9.035100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+157.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Under53c19$10 inWon+$8.9334551.9%179 W · 166 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.