TailMyPicks
Market

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,445

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over58c16,585$9,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,622.6313754%74 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under42c15,914$6,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,231.9848141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under64c9,853$6,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5611060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over41c4,263$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.2610041%41 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under64c3,517$2,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.472,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over63c2,846$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over45c2,208$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over19c1,999$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.84839.6%19 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c1,640$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.043,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over50c1,250$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6228336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under37c1,140$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.81,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over56c1,100$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.973158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c1,060$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.195024%12 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-27.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over58c1,012$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.999856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under65c970.83$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4453140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over57c899.99$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.998068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over24c700$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c689.87$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.0464043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over45c670$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over32c622.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.573036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x488e…ea2ebacked Over53c608.17$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over33c538.2$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8212460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over59c534.21$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.63520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c450$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.52729.6%8 W · 19 L-7.1wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc9e1…1575backed Over41c436.53$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under44c426.67$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.471838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25642046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under41c346.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.2833737.4%126 W · 211 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under37c343$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6569851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Under65c307.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.93862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under37c299.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9628755.1%158 W · 129 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over63c290.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.312853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c282.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0533047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over9c277.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over33c261.8$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3916464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over33c247.3$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6116056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over63c238.1$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over37c218.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.76355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c207.58$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.791,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c206.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0618759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over33c162$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.115648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over63c155.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over49c155.13$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.017032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under37c130$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.94057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663429.4%10 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed Under38c115.5$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under37c114.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6216846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under39c100.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6162452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102516%4 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4438845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311539.1%45 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Over52c99.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-62.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under37c95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.851,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+133.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over33c90.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c88$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.047758.4%45 W · 32 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under38c84$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under38c83.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0115244.1%67 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over63c79.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.754969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked Over35c74.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.161566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under37c72.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6626445.5%120 W · 144 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over23c66.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Over17c64.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113627.8%10 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under60c63.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over33c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.886264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over33c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over33c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.885358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over33c60.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.886564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303275%24 W · 8 L+8.1wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x263f…760dbacked Over34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Under64c56.01$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.014100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.566245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under53c48.26$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9f…b100backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Under64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over33c45.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1516046.9%75 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under49c40.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.534339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17b6…af55backed Over63c40.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Over63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Under76c39.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.651741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under69c39.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1955058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over51c38.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.774269%29 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…ca53backed Over33c38.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over56c37.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Over63c31.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.93735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over40c29.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.847455.4%41 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.