Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9afb605f5247e7191d742451221ebb3e845a2a8705bc129cb38df8cbe6ef97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borussia Mönchengladbachof BV Borussia 09 Dortmund, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 30c | 638.47$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 17c | 606.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 579.15$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 23c | 414.43$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 78c | 407.25$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…f708backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 28c | 347.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 289.54$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 149.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 29c | 121.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 119.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 26c | 73.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 66.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 74c | 63.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 60.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 40.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…944bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 23.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 74c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 67c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)this page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.