Bundesliga · resolved market
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab6a6ef483694b6a7cfbd41139f6d8a186c24f0a31629f2a2086c3e4f47c6b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 9,813$6,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,706.85 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 32c | 7,791$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.31 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 37c | 2,072$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.36 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…6510backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 38c | 513.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 427.08$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.81 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed No | 75c | 400.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 36c | 339.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 335.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -86%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 64c | 316.62$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 36c | 310.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 262.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…3458backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 64c | 215.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 25c | 209.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…ca8dbacked Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 64c | 191.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 118.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 57c | 110.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 107.01$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 36c | 106.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 37c | 103.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.93 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…0060backed Yes | 64c | 101$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf064…54a4backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 23c | 82.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 81.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 34c | 79.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 63c | 66.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 62c | 64.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 39c | 50.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 47c | 49.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccfa…6ee7backed Yes | 63c | 48.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 47.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 38c | 46.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 66c | 45.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 63c | 40.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 64c | 31.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…9c1ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 66c | 29.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 72c | 28.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 62c | 23.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Yes | 63c | 22.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…7bfebacked Yes | 61c | 21.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 63c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7b…5c8dbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 61c | 17.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 147 | 55.8%82 W · 65 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0f…98d0backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…e08bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…bb12backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b3…d6efbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…eb5cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)Borussia Mönchengladbach won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
- Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-2.5)BV Borussia 09 Dortmund won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.