TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$72,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,730

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6982…a165backed Under72c5,788$4,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under41c5,370$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.321060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,817$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.23,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c4,600$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,592.812,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.995133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over63c2,865$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.725358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over62c2,394$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.276264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under15c1,787$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.041,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over60c1,499$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.365276.9%40 W · 12 L+13.0wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+72%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under52c1,495$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.5848141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over67c1,490$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.38068.8%55 W · 25 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over62c1,451$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.365457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over63c1,436$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.366564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under38c1,226$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.0349143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over43c1,150$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.51546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over62c1,091$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.2214055%77 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66d4…fe2dbacked Over52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over53c1,038$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over53c943.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.995538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under54c932.99$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6164043.9%281 W · 359 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over56c822.35$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.6511843.2%51 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ce…3e93backed Over50c693.2$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under42c624.5$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.054040%16 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under45c619.15$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.2353140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over62c580.9$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.2212460.5%75 W · 49 L+19.9wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+46.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over43c558.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27511748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbc…095ebacked Over51c497$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under45c429.33$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.956355.6%35 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010554.3%57 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525024%12 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Under44c375.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.551662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under36c323$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.727136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over64c310.9$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9816464%105 W · 59 L+28.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+49.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over10c308.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.837646.1%35 W · 41 L+8.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+33.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x75fc…0a4cbacked Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick23cpaid-86%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over5c292.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154524.4%11 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over48c291.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14038055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…ab23backed Over62c288.14$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.42450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c287.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012635.7%45 W · 81 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf706…f685backed Over67c283.58$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over64c272.4$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6416056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over76c250$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19011065.5%72 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa1…1fa9backed Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.85520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed Over18c240$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.77338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over40c231.54$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.397032.9%23 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over11c229.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.264839.6%19 W · 29 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d1f…48a4backed Over55c228.54$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over54c227.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+54.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked Over30c213.83$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.152740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over51c198.04$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012050%10 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under56c198$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1214652.7%77 W · 69 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over61c190$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1153154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under51c187.45$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.081,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over55c182.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003655.6%20 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over68c176.47$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12014260.6%86 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd384…0b47backed Over61c164.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6013…3348backed Over49c160.49$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under54c158.11$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1110532.4%34 W · 71 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over17c147.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Under41c116.76$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.764100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+79.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over55c105.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under15c105.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4662452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba23…0b69backed Under48c104.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.381346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Under47c101.55$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.49633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7238845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c99.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9934655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under15c99.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4816846.4%78 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under54c98.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.782138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Over57c98.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.061752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49bc…0413backed Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over77c97.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick70cpaid-36.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under29c95.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.378844.3%39 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over68c93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.955648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over50c90$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over56c89.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under17c88.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.247254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c85.84$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7721355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+133.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b34…a646backed Under59c82.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dca…a234backed Over19c78.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.161118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick24cpaid+35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over54c73.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.554269%29 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+22.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Under42c71.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+83.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c14…134bbacked Over60c70.55$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over43c67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.645855.2%32 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over28c65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.25345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Over62c63.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.62157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe083…d0d5backed Over65c61.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Over49c51.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3120645.6%94 W · 112 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over51c49.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over42c48.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2814755.8%82 W · 65 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…55fcbacked Over60c44.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over55c41.82$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Over65c40.89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.691275%9 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…132ebacked Under47c40.43$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.