Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea03273e1f233ccbeadcad992eed05ef185536d69473761532401beefeadc156
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Refuserof Team Refuser, Game Master
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Refuser | 71c | 10,018$7,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.87 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Refuser | 71c | 7,781$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.29 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Refuser | 77c | 5,367$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.16 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Refuser | 62c | 4,698$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.62 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Game Master | 5c | 3,710$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Game Master | 34c | 3,045$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.25 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Game Master | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Team Refuser | 69c | 2,689$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Game Master | 28c | 2,313$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.09 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed Game Master | 29c | 2,186$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.46 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Game Master | 25c | 1,975$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.21 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Game Master | 30c | 1,929$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Master | 36c | 1,886$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.07 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Game Master | 45c | 1,777$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Game Master | 35c | 1,727$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Game Master | 33c | 1,621$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Game Master | 34c | 1,469$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.64 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Game Master | 36c | 1,409$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Game Master | 25c | 1,296$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.92 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Game Master | 41c | 1,213$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Game Master | 34c | 1,135$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Game Master | 18c | 1,076$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.93 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Game Master | 38c | 1,034$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.65 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff0…c7aabacked Game Master | 37c | 1,014$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Game Master | 25c | 1,002$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Game Master | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Game Master | 36c | 993.16$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Game Master | 33c | 989.96$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…c586backed Team Refuser | 66c | 988.6$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Refuser | 50c | 928$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Game Master | 27c | 874.92$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.59 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Game Master | 33c | 863.94$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.31 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Game Master | 33c | 847.5$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Game Master | 38c | 846.83$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Refuser | 74c | 833$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.63 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Refuser | 71c | 825.77$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Refuser | 67c | 777.14$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.27 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Refuser | 70c | 749.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Game Master | 37c | 734.53$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.08 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Game Master | 35c | 716.98$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Game Master | 33c | 714$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.85 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Master | 30c | 701.16$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.77 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Game Master | 12c | 699.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Game Master | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Refuser | 68c | 562.5$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Game Master | 35c | 542.86$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Master | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Team Refuser | 74c | 482.91$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Refuser | 60c | 476.53$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.24 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Game Master | 37c | 474$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.58 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Refuser | 66c | 454$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Game Master | 25c | 450$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Master | 35c | 438.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.05 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Game Master | 3c | 435.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Game Master | 9c | 432.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Refuser | 50c | 403.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Game Master | 27c | 398.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Game Master | 36c | 384.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Team Refuser | 66c | 374.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Refuser | 75c | 369.65$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Refuser | 58c | 343.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Game Master | 37c | 337.93$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Team Refuser | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Game Master | 24c | 297.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Game Master | 37c | 280$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.6 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Game Master | 35c | 265.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.04 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Game Master | 33c | 259$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Team Refuser | 74c | 256.77$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Team Refuser | 67c | 255.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Refuser | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Refuser | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Game Master | 33c | 244.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Refuser | 73c | 226.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Game Master | 22c | 208.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Game Master | 28c | 207.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.15 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Refuser | 70c | 206.66$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Game Master | 35c | 202.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Game Master | 32c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Game Master | 50c | 177.05$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Game Master | 20c | 174.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Refuser | 54c | 154.9$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Game Master | 31c | 150.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Game Master | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Game Master | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Refuser | 69c | 149.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team Refuser | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…5fa9backed Team Refuser | 65c | 134.1$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Team Refuser | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Refuser | 71c | 111.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Game Master | 39c | 110.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Game Master | 24c | 110.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…c134backed Game Master | 13c | 108.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Game Master | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Game Master | 36c | 95.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Refuser | 74c | 91.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Refuser | 62c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…f21cbacked Team Refuser | 65c | 89.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Game Master | 34c | 85.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Game Master | 19c | 84.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…16d0backed Team Refuser | 65c | 84.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Refuser won
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 WinnerTeam Refuser won
- Game Handicap: REF (-1.5) vs Game Master (+1.5)Team Refuser won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.