Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d0f20a7903e20180b15dcceb9979f4bbe68fa994d12e5d8f03b342bed272ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Refuserof Team Refuser, Game Master
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Team Refuser | 66c | 3,470$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Refuser | 66c | 2,118$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.52 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Game Master | 35c | 1,700$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Game Master | 36c | 1,636$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.34 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Refuser | 65c | 1,541$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Game Master | 34c | 1,005$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.69 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Game Master | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Game Master | 7c | 997.47$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Game Master | 22c | 985.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.08 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Game Master | 37c | 956.7$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Game Master | 20c | 951.54$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Game Master | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Refuser | 61c | 865.94$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Refuser | 76c | 849.36$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Game Master | 19c | 836.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Game Master | 4c | 692.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Game Master | 16c | 689$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Team Refuser | 66c | 598.25$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…2d49backed Game Master | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed Game Master | 34c | 588.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Game Master | 34c | 518.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Game Master | 34c | 500.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Refuser | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Game Master | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Game Master | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Game Master | 35c | 476.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.55 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Game Master | 37c | 457.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Game Master | 38c | 422.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Game Master | 17c | 400.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Game Master | 25c | 396.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Team Refuser | 63c | 363.02$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Refuser | 80c | 330$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Game Master | 10c | 315.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Refuser | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Game Master | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Game Master | 25c | 237.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Team Refuser | 70c | 236.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…2e88backed Game Master | 34c | 210.35$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Game Master | 36c | 195.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Game Master | 25c | 191.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Game Master | 17c | 191.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Team Refuser | 78c | 186.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 217 | 69.1%150 W · 67 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Game Master | 17c | 181.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Refuser | 76c | 176.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Game Master | 34c | 170$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Game Master | 16c | 166$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Team Refuser | 63c | 158.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Team Refuser | 64c | 153.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Game Master | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Game Master | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Refuser | 68c | 145$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Team Refuser | 73c | 137.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Game Master | 28c | 137$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Game Master | 19c | 136.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Game Master | 16c | 133.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Game Master | 22c | 130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Team Refuser | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b6…3740backed Game Master | 17c | 116.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Refuser | 64c | 100.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Game Master | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Game Master | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Refuser | 76c | 98.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Refuser | 65c | 91.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Refuser | 66c | 88.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Refuser | 69c | 86.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Game Master | 16c | 72.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Game Master | 36c | 64.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb6…a2fcbacked Game Master | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Game Master | 35c | 60.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -8.5wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Game Master | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Game Master | 37c | 58.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…fe3fbacked Game Master | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Game Master | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Game Master | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Game Master | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Game Master | 27c | 52.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Game Master | 41c | 49.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Team Refuser | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Game Master | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team Refuser | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…cd45backed Team Refuser | 60c | 32.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Team Refuser | 64c | 31.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…7abdbacked Team Refuser | 66c | 31.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Game Master | 36c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Game Master | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…49d0backed Team Refuser | 66c | 27.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Team Refuser | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Team Refuser | 66c | 22.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Team Refuser | 64c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Team Refuser | 65c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…cd90backed Team Refuser | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…180dbacked Team Refuser | 74c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Team Refuser | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Refuser | 80c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 WinnerTeam Refuser won
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 WinnerTeam Refuser won
- Game Handicap: REF (-1.5) vs Game Master (+1.5)Team Refuser won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.