Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ca8a2e953a02132beee946236d7b98be3c1d8086947d941b931e7820ac1c72

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Refuserof Team Refuser, Game Master
Resolved: Jun 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $46,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $54,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Refuser	76c	7,730$5,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.49	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Team Refuser	62c	3,875$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,474.82	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed Game Master	27c	3,124$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.35	156	39.1%61 W · 95 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Refuser	59c	2,032$1,202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.52	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Master	21c	1,694$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.61	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Game Master	44c	1,354$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.14	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Game Master	43c	1,250$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.35	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Refuser	57c	1,200$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.1	175	46.9%82 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Game Master	37c	1,090$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.42	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Game Master	31c	1,021$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.62	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Game Master	39c	1,006$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.28	100	36%36 W · 64 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Game Master	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	211	0.5%1 W · 210 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-99.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Game Master	38c	1,000$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	292	43.2%126 W · 166 L	-14.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Game Master	30c	729.76$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.76	149	43%64 W · 85 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed Team Refuser	66c	708.14$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.58	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Game Master	20c	707.33$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.21	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Game Master	35c	705.88$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.52	1,154	47.7%550 W · 604 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Game Master	21c	669.45$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.63	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Game Master	27c	643.64$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.03	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0867…3023backed Game Master	49c	617.46$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Team Refuser	79c	576$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.96	177	57.6%102 W · 75 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Game Master	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.43	745	49.3%367 W · 378 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Game Master	16c	484.12$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.29	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Game Master	29c	475.71$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.6	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Team Refuser	50c	410.43$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.21	283	47%133 W · 150 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x952a…bdc8backed Team Refuser	75c	386.15$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.74	84	69%58 W · 26 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed Game Master	44c	367.36$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	137	64.2%88 W · 49 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Game Master	21c	329$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.94	174	43.1%75 W · 99 L	-8.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Game Master	20c	296.8$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-5.4wins	-0.32per pick	43cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Game Master	38c	290.87$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.53	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Game Master	43c	262.13$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.72	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Game Master	45c	257.61$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	404	42.3%171 W · 233 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabcc…10b4backed Team Refuser	79c	254.61$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.61	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Refuser	57c	249.86$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.44	540	58.9%318 W · 222 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cde…96e2backed Game Master	38c	249.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-14%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed Game Master	38c	249.8$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	50cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Game Master	37c	237.13$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.74	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-8.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked Game Master	38c	233.36$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.68	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Game Master	22c	227.27$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	410	37.3%153 W · 257 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Game Master	16c	224.42$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Game Master	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	962	45.5%438 W · 524 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Game Master	22c	214.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.28	86	45.3%39 W · 47 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Refuser	58c	200$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	614	49.5%304 W · 310 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Team Refuser	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	592	54.1%320 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec61…f8a1backed Team Refuser	54c	199.99$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Refuser	77c	198.05$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	253	59.3%150 W · 103 L	+15.4wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Refuser	56c	194.72$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.48	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Team Refuser	80c	187.75$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.91	225	58.2%131 W · 94 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Game Master	27c	187.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.23	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa03f…7560backed Game Master	22c	184.68$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.63	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Game Master	38c	184.21$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	577	35%202 W · 375 L	-14.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Game Master	19c	176.16$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-6.9wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Game Master	34c	172.75$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.55	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Game Master	24c	164.31$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.97	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Game Master	18c	147.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.14	793	41.7%331 W · 462 L	-13.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Game Master	31c	146.46$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.21	301	46.2%139 W · 162 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Team Refuser	69c	145.76$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.76	172	51.2%88 W · 84 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Game Master	18c	136.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	711	43%306 W · 405 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9048…d351backed Game Master	37c	135.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Game Master	20c	130.23$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.63	785	16.6%130 W · 655 L	-135.4wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed Game Master	38c	101.79$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.68	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Game Master	29c	100.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.69	148	48%71 W · 77 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Team Refuser	60c	100$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	658	63.1%415 W · 243 L	+17.5wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Game Master	35c	99.98$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.99	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Refuser	62c	98.98$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.08	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Game Master	31c	98.03$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.39	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Game Master	31c	96.76$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bda…c134backed Game Master	17c	88.24$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Game Master	32c	86$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+12.5wins	+0.14per pick	37cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Game Master	33c	85.59$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.03	194	49%95 W · 99 L	+11.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Refuser	61c	79$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.85	589	43%253 W · 336 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed Team Refuser	57c	77.55$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.65	410	56.8%233 W · 177 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Game Master	42c	70.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	382	44.5%170 W · 212 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…db5bbacked Team Refuser	78c	69.65$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.61	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Game Master	23c	67.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	41cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Game Master	41c	63.62$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.27	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e99…2229backed Game Master	45c	62.22$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	87	36.8%32 W · 55 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Game Master	29c	62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	665	45.6%303 W · 362 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Game Master	37c	60.91$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	1,248	44.4%554 W · 694 L	+17.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Game Master	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Game Master	45c	57.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2756…e8c7backed Team Refuser	79c	53.38$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.09	206	61.7%127 W · 79 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Game Master	42c	47.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Team Refuser	71c	45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	62	71%44 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	73cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Refuser	76c	41.45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.77	306	67.3%206 W · 100 L	+18.3wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Team Refuser	51c	39.22$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.22	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Refuser	66c	37$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	645	47.8%308 W · 337 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…0f14backed Game Master	48c	33.75$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Team Refuser	59c	30.63$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.56	387	59.4%230 W · 157 L	+26.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74e9…7269backed Game Master	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd47a…67fabacked Team Refuser	79c	28.48$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.98	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1d…a420backed Team Refuser	63c	27.58$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.15	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…cf1abacked Team Refuser	79c	26$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	304	58.6%178 W · 126 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd932…af3cbacked Team Refuser	60c	24.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.93	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x212a…a758backed Game Master	43c	23.48$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x847c…9ff8backed Team Refuser	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173a…584cbacked Team Refuser	62c	19.38$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.37	35	71.4%25 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed Team Refuser	65c	18.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.42	21	81%17 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	69cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a03…d2d1backed Team Refuser	80c	12.82$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.56	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	70cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Refuser won
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 2 WinnerTeam Refuser won
Game Handicap: REF (-1.5) vs Game Master (+1.5)Team Refuser won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event