TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa938…7abd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+64%+$24.86
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$11.54
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$26.11
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Partizan Sangal (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stagebacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$9.42
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$3.08
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$77.92
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$7.09
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$74.3
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$33.96
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$86.18
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$37.84
All 23 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$13.63
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$13.68
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.62
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$10.28
Dota 2: Roar Gaming vs Team Refuser - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Refuser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$10.66
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+56.8%+$17.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.