Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc66d0dc37a42b8be6d78b74418820535ba3f01f14d11d0066a649baa06b1fd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circleof Inner Circle, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle | 56c | 3,489$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.86 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 2,647$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.74 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 2,266$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.33 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 2,000$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.79 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 1,434$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.86 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 1,380$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.79 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Inner Circle | 55c | 1,233$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.18 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Inner Circle | 64c | 1,088$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.34 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 970$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.05 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 869.21$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle | 62c | 800.45$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Inner Circle | 60c | 777$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 749.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 680.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 614.43$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Inner Circle | 49c | 513$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.43 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Nemiga Gaming | 3c | 499.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Inner Circle | 52c | 480.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 438$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 290 | 47.9%139 W · 151 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 416.18$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 400.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42dd…5d2bbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 382.16$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 346.75$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.83 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle | 66c | 341$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Inner Circle | 53c | 339.83$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d7…4084backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 337.84$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle | 74c | 300.11$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Inner Circle | 59c | 289.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 283$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 232.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 231.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Inner Circle | 61c | 231.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.32 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 231.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 50c | 222.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.44 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Inner Circle | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 217.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Inner Circle | 56c | 215.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 205.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nemiga Gaming | 50c | 200.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 191.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 188.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle | 65c | 180.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Inner Circle | 54c | 179.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 204 | 42.2%86 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 170$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Inner Circle | 56c | 163.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Inner Circle | 62c | 162$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed Inner Circle | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 157.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a19…86c8backed Inner Circle | 71c | 154.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 137.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 133.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4c…c8c6backed Inner Circle | 61c | 131.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Inner Circle | 54c | 129.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 128$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 125.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…cb84backed Inner Circle | 53c | 123.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 120.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Inner Circle | 71c | 112$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 107.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Inner Circle | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Inner Circle | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Inner Circle | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Inner Circle | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 72.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle | 57c | 62.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Inner Circle | 35c | 60.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Inner Circle | 74c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 57.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 50.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 50.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Inner Circle | 46c | 43.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Inner Circle | 61c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Inner Circle | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Inner Circle | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Inner Circle | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Inner Circle | 51c | 38.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Inner Circle | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Inner Circle | 53c | 31.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Inner Circle | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…7abdbacked Inner Circle | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc7…e4d4backed Inner Circle | 63c | 25.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Inner Circle | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…29b9backed Inner Circle | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Inner Circle | 78c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Open Qualifier 2 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.