Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39f7ea66fb88adaca79c7d3419446755c8211b193060629cfe08b50b0383d30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Refuser, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 64c | 8,128$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Refuser | 38c | 4,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Refuser | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Refuser | 36c | 2,891$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.19 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience | 66c | 1,603$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.2 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 1,250$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Refuser | 30c | 1,054$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.27 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Refuser | 17c | 1,030$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Refuser | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Refuser | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Refuser | 33c | 916.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 854.31$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.33 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 73c | 819.96$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.1 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Refuser | 44c | 741.62$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Team Refuser | 32c | 652.3$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Team Refuser | 30c | 520.2$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 76c | 509.36$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Refuser | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…0ddfbacked Team Refuser | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Resilience | 76c | 500$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Team Refuser | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Team Resilience | 69c | 499.99$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 476.49$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.85 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Refuser | 10c | 455.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.53 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Team Refuser | 11c | 447.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Team Refuser | 40c | 411.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Team Resilience | 67c | 370.87$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Refuser | 7c | 354.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 67c | 350.52$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.52 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Team Resilience | 77c | 340$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Refuser | 30c | 318.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.01 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked Team Refuser | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Resilience | 69c | 286.19$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 68c | 275.86$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Team Refuser | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed Team Refuser | 28c | 270$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Team Resilience | 63c | 264.93$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Refuser | 38c | 239.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Refuser | 37c | 234.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 63c | 234.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Resilience | 69c | 209.29$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.91 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Team Refuser | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Team Refuser | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Team Refuser | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team Refuser | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Refuser | 24c | 199.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Team Refuser | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Team Resilience | 71c | 189.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Refuser | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…3881backed Team Refuser | 43c | 163.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Resilience | 75c | 160.64$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Team Refuser | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Team Resilience | 68c | 146.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Refuser | 33c | 144.93$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Refuser | 22c | 144.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Refuser | 26c | 134.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Team Refuser | 42c | 132.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa091…f1c1backed Team Refuser | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed Team Resilience | 63c | 127.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 67c | 101.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Team Refuser | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Team Refuser | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Team Refuser | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Resilience | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Team Resilience | 68c | 92.46$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Team Resilience | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Refuser | 31c | 68.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Team Resilience | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d0…bf0cbacked Team Refuser | 28c | 65.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Resilience | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Refuser | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…a45fbacked Team Refuser | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Team Refuser | 39c | 57.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Team Refuser | 41c | 53.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…d94abacked Team Refuser | 30c | 53.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Team Refuser | 33c | 50.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 49.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Refuser | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Team Refuser | 40c | 49.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Team Resilience | 77c | 44.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…0648backed Team Refuser | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Resilience | 62c | 43.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Team Resilience | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Resilience | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Refuser | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Refuser | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team Refuser | 30c | 38.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team Refuser | 33c | 34.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Refuser | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…875abacked Team Resilience | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Refuser | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Team Resilience | 68c | 28.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…a420backed Team Resilience | 61c | 27.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Resilience | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Team Resilience | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…7abdbacked Team Resilience | 61c | 26.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Resilience | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Team Resilience | 63c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212a…a758backed Team Resilience | 67c | 23.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Team Refuser (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.