Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd63af6c48ae07ce26cdea2e71ef86ed2b7be94afe65af74f0cf36e17312ac7fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Refuser, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 62c | 11,399$7,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,382.75 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Refuser | 40c | 6,718$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.43 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Refuser | 23c | 3,495$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.69 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Refuser | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Refuser | 32c | 2,113$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.41 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Resilience | 68c | 1,470$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.35 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Refuser | 13c | 1,429$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.29 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Refuser | 42c | 1,353$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.42 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Refuser | 39c | 1,297$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.49 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Refuser | 5c | 1,291$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.85 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 79c | 1,208$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.91 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Team Refuser | 4c | 1,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Refuser | 29c | 1,064$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.54 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Refuser | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Team Resilience | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Refuser | 31c | 938.03$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.06 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Team Refuser | 29c | 859.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Team Refuser | 23c | 844.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.22 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Refuser | 34c | 843.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.14 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Resilience | 62c | 804.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Team Refuser | 4c | 714.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Resilience | 66c | 672.4$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.54 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Team Resilience | 68c | 612.78$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Resilience | 63c | 556.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Refuser | 24c | 549.41$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…9567backed Team Resilience | 71c | 530$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Team Resilience | 65c | 517.71$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 515.36$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.37 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Refuser | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Refuser | 32c | 495.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Team Resilience | 59c | 423.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.75 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Team Refuser | 3c | 400.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Refuser | 34c | 390.51$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9499…d5bbbacked Team Refuser | 26c | 384.24$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Refuser | 38c | 367.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Team Refuser | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Refuser | 29c | 306.32$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.05 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Team Refuser | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…dcedbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 273.42$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Refuser | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Refuser | 9c | 237.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Resilience | 59c | 237.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Resilience | 78c | 203.88$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…e731backed Team Resilience | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Refuser | 30c | 196.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Refuser | 37c | 194.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Team Refuser | 24c | 184.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Refuser | 18c | 180$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Refuser | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Team Resilience | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team Resilience | 69c | 166.61$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Team Refuser | 37c | 160.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Team Resilience | 64c | 157$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked Team Refuser | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 149.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed Team Resilience | 68c | 149$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Team Resilience | 77c | 134$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Team Refuser | 38c | 132.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Refuser | 31c | 128.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Team Resilience | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Resilience | 64c | 119.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 113$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…48efbacked Team Refuser | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Team Resilience | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Refuser | 32c | 103$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Resilience | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Refuser | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Refuser | 38c | 89.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Team Refuser | 25c | 83.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Team Refuser | 39c | 68.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Resilience | 78c | 58.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Resilience | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Team Resilience | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceea…ec81backed Team Resilience | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 120 | 73.3%88 W · 32 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74aa…2c3fbacked Team Refuser | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…13a5backed Team Resilience | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Team Resilience | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Team Resilience | 63c | 42.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 274 | 66.4%182 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Team Resilience | 55c | 42.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe522…8c25backed Team Resilience | 62c | 41.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Team Refuser | 41c | 40.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…af49backed Team Refuser | 40c | 38.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team Resilience | 66c | 37.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Refuser | 34c | 36.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Team Resilience | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Team Resilience | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Refuser | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…d761backed Team Refuser | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Team Resilience | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…25bdbacked Team Resilience | 69c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Team Resilience | 63c | 25.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Team Resilience | 62c | 23.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…85f2backed Team Resilience | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Team Resilience | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…f2c0backed Team Resilience | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Resilience | 63c | 16.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Team Refuser (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.