Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37981e222c6fa21fdb05578c1cc8143d3deb5496728ca7b5b06fabe73dd47219
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Resilienceof Team Refuser, Team Resilience
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bd9…1e6fbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 3,305$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Refuser | 23c | 1,389$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.04 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Team Resilience | 70c | 1,296$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Resilience | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Team Refuser | 42c | 1,238$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Refuser | 27c | 1,089$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 1,039$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.86 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Team Refuser | 31c | 1,021$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Team Resilience | 69c | 1,001$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Refuser | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Refuser | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Refuser | 35c | 867.5$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.76 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Team Refuser | 15c | 744.36$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Refuser | 40c | 741.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Team Refuser | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Refuser | 31c | 690$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Refuser | 7c | 666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…e1e9backed Team Refuser | 17c | 584.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…354dbacked Team Resilience | 67c | 544.97$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team Refuser | 42c | 518.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.28 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Refuser | 11c | 516.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Resilience | 62c | 516.42$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16b…3a57backed Team Resilience | 69c | 516.2$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Resilience | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Team Resilience | 63c | 499.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Team Resilience | 60c | 499.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Resilience | 74c | 441$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.83 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Refuser | 20c | 402.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Team Refuser | 37c | 387.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…7ecfbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 383.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.12 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Team Refuser | 11c | 375.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Refuser | 41c | 368.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Team Refuser | 22c | 355$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Team Resilience | 68c | 346.71$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.95 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Team Resilience | 64c | 312.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…df5ebacked Team Refuser | 33c | 302.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Team Refuser | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Refuser | 34c | 296.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Team Resilience | 63c | 292.51$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Refuser | 19c | 291.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Refuser | 7c | 290.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…2542backed Team Refuser | 14c | 280.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Refuser | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team Refuser | 5c | 265.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Refuser | 39c | 263.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Team Refuser | 26c | 260$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 254.71$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Team Resilience | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Team Refuser | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…0f14backed Team Resilience | 63c | 242.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…d77cbacked Team Refuser | 9c | 210$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Team Refuser | 5c | 208.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Team Resilience | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Team Refuser | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Refuser | 16c | 182.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Team Resilience | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…bef4backed Team Resilience | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…98f1backed Team Resilience | 60c | 167.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Refuser | 15c | 149.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…2886backed Team Refuser | 39c | 140.15$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Team Resilience | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…a9ecbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Team Resilience | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Team Refuser | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Team Refuser | 41c | 129.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Team Resilience | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Team Resilience | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Team Refuser | 23c | 106.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Team Refuser | 39c | 104.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Team Resilience | 70c | 103.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…0d99backed Team Resilience | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Team Resilience | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Team Resilience | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…5b8cbacked Team Refuser | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…7faebacked Team Resilience | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…c499backed Team Refuser | 11c | 97.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Team Resilience | 63c | 96.68$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Refuser | 32c | 88.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Team Resilience | 71c | 81.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked Team Refuser | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Team Resilience | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed Team Resilience | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Team Refuser | 34c | 62.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Resilience | 80c | 59.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Resilience | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Team Refuser | 32c | 54.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Team Resilience | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…9a3fbacked Team Refuser | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Team Resilience | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Team Resilience | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Refuser | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Team Refuser | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Refuser | 41c | 38.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d1…cb84backed Team Refuser | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab7…180ebacked Team Resilience | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8b…0644backed Team Resilience | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Team Refuser | 42c | 35.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Resilience | 77c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Resilience | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Team Resilience - Game 2 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Game Handicap: TR (-1.5) vs Team Refuser (+1.5)Team Resilience won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.