Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x163021d5c53ef56387e14f354d3fbab8ad56ef00a795c292ff1eebc26dc58694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,998$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.74 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 27c | 741.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.25 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 61c | 613.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.79 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.54 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 73c | 595.89$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 440 | 39.5%174 W · 266 L | -25.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Over | 38c | 416.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 59c | 359.82$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Under | 46c | 347.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.64 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 255.24$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.38 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 41c | 243.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 28c | 206.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 188$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 69c | 183.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 72c | 182$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 72c | 135$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 257 | 43.2%111 W · 146 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…ec29backed Over | 72c | 134.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under | 38c | 113$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 44c | 80.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 72c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 19c | 76.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Over | 74c | 70.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Over | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 281 | 66.5%187 W · 94 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 289 | 59.9%173 W · 116 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Over | 71c | 51.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 41c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 51c | 40.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…7abdbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 659 | 54.5%359 W · 300 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Over | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -12.9wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 73c | 21.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 75c | 21.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc678…6f57backed Over | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3c…2b52backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)LYON won
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)LYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.