Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8073bf1496e1f77bfca80876713b3cece67fbfb32c21d8dbd95dd6ad96aef924
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd202…8973backed LYON | 35c | 15,805$5,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.02 | 382 | 35.6%136 W · 246 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 10,074$6,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,359.08 | 1,490 | 54.6%813 W · 677 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.08 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed LYON | 69c | 4,747$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.79 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LYON | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 39c | 2,500$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.93 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…9207backed Team Liquid | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed LYON | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,250$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed LYON | 35c | 1,242$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.72 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed LYON | 35c | 1,188$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.14 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed LYON | 34c | 1,030$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.93 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed LYON | 35c | 999.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.99 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 25c | 875.97$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.91 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked LYON | 37c | 838.47$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Team Liquid | 65c | 791.29$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.92 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed LYON | 37c | 779.99$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.14 | 386 | 40.4%156 W · 230 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 63c | 766.7$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.02 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked LYON | 35c | 661.43$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 634.08$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.16 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed LYON | 37c | 575$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.25 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed LYON | 36c | 555.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Team Liquid | 25c | 507.72$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed LYON | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed LYON | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked LYON | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 497.17$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked LYON | 37c | 480$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Team Liquid | 63c | 476.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed LYON | 34c | 467.65$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed LYON | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed LYON | 36c | 355.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed LYON | 34c | 350$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Team Liquid | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed LYON | 34c | 288.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed LYON | 35c | 276$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LYON | 31c | 274.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.27 | 2,222 | 37.4%832 W · 1,390 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Team Liquid | 25c | 274$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked LYON | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Team Liquid | 63c | 229.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed LYON | 35c | 212.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.13 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Team Liquid | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 216 | 47.2%102 W · 114 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Liquid | 65c | 183.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.87 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…cf93backed Team Liquid | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 139$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed LYON | 35c | 138.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…48f3backed LYON | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed LYON | 34c | 119.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 569 | 49.4%281 W · 288 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked LYON | 35c | 92.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Team Liquid | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed LYON | 62c | 69.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Liquid | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Team Liquid | 65c | 57.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed LYON | 36c | 53.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked LYON | 34c | 42.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed LYON | 35c | 37.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LYON | 36c | 34.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Team Liquid | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Team Liquid | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Liquid | 65c | 26.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Team Liquid | 65c | 26.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Team Liquid | 67c | 21.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…5b0abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Team Liquid | 67c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…df9cbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.