Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e230a0cb2c9cdd1f13a0ef78ff159985adf4506a0a7d94b274326443b745b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof LYON, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe504…600ebacked LYON | 34c | 1,969$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.44 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,724$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.27 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed LYON | 39c | 1,448$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.03 | 594 | 59.1%351 W · 243 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 44c | 1,201$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.67 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Team Liquid | 67c | 769.99$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.49 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 744.73$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.78 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked LYON | 33c | 600.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.13 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Team Liquid | 62c | 500$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.45 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed LYON | 18c | 446.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.19 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LYON | 41c | 330.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.23 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked LYON | 31c | 330$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed LYON | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked LYON | 59c | 271.1$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.56 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LYON | 15c | 269.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Team Liquid | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed LYON | 60c | 226.58$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…e324backed LYON | 17c | 128.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed LYON | 58c | 60.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…7d20backed Team Liquid | 50c | 29.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 27.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)LYON won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerLYON won
- LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerLYON won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.