MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd121d7fa08b0aa417fd07952b61e7d64286b74ebbb9ba9f3f6d9a19aed893985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Kansas City Royals, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,701,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,717,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,701,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 541 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,100,961$625,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475,442.9 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 293,150$126,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126,054.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…f568backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 250,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,499.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 209,302$90,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,999.86 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 160,904$70,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,797.71 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 51,972$28,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,007.17 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 44,430$16,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,873.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 35,138$15,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,347.06 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 34,607$19,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,226.96 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 33,840$14,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,546.42 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 30,905$13,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,443.68 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 23,258$9,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,064.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 22,222$9,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,555.46 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 22,035$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.06 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,800 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 19,988$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.93 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 17,055$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,736.51 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 16,950$7,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Washington Nationals | 66c | 16,849$11,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,770.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 14,192$6,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,244.29 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 13,133$5,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,549.04 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…178dbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 12,471$7,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,798 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 10,207$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,475.98 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals | 23c | 9,484$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.56 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 28c | 8,428$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 6,995$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 6,794$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.44 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 6,120$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.49 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 5,790$4,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 4,664$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.34 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb45…0cadbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 4,011$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.84 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 3,970$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,744.67 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 3,852$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.95 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 3,549$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.07 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Kansas City Royals | 19c | 3,382$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.68 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 3,361$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.92 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 3,268$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.2 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Nationals | 75c | 3,250$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 3,179$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.13 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,124$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.54 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 2,814$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.27 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 2,753$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 2,569$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.54 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,540$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 2,401$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.43 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…41d9backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 2,177$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 2,151$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.65 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 2,128$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.67 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 15c | 2,110$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.03 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,861$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.9 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,859$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.93 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 1,765$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.22 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 24c | 1,710$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.98 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,680$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.18 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 74c | 1,635$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,606$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,572$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,520$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.86 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…7a20backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 1,489$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,262$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.66 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Washington Nationals | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Kansas City Royals | 21c | 1,148$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 1,111$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,065$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.79 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 1,038$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Kansas City Royals | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 979.98$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.19 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Washington Nationals | 60c | 922.94$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.04 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Washington Nationals | 75c | 911.53$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 876.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 860$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 17c | 859.07$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 843$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.2 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals | 44c | 814$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.97 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.