MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0139fc0555d1d27de4a84c0d63051a62b5767a00858dc26b57262ae10517ea38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $208,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $208,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Under | 49c | 153,492$75,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,123.94 | 481 | 48.6%234 W · 247 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Over | 51c | 44,952$22,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,026.35 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 51c | 33,516$17,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,422.87 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 65c | 25,724$16,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,808.82 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 51c | 25,224$12,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,359.76 | 925 | 54.1%500 W · 425 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 21,229$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,636.37 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 356 | 43.5%155 W · 201 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 49c | 9,262$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.74 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 6,628$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.58 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 3,667$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.15 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 3,574$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.88 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 3,463$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.67 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 3,350$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 2,170$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.95 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…1846backed Over | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 2,106$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 1,854$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.88 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 43c | 1,832$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.44 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 1,363$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,845 | 50.7%936 W · 909 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 36c | 824.68$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.78 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed Over | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 51c | 532.84$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.09 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 499.71$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 480$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 51c | 420$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.8 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Over | 53c | 371$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 592 | 52.7%312 W · 280 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 51c | 248.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.81 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 27c | 224.86$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Over | 47c | 204.83$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 38c | 168.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 48c | 166.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 451 | 49.2%222 W · 229 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…30a3backed Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 51c | 140$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 51c | 136.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 30c | 136.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 41c | 113.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 108.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Over | 44c | 106$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 292 | 42.5%124 W · 168 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 103.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 44c | 100.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 30c | 100.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 99.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 785 | 50.2%394 W · 391 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Over | 50c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Over | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 383 | 42%161 W · 222 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…b1a1backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 47c | 57.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 53c | 53.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Over | 51c | 52.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +10.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 241 | 52.7%127 W · 114 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Over | 43c | 47.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 46.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 48c | 40.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…fcc5backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Over | 52c | 39.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Under | 50c | 38.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 48c | 35.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 53c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 32.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 43c | 30.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 46c | 29.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Over | 49c | 27.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Over | 51c | 27.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532c…54e3backed Over | 51c | 25.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.