Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c6250c9b584a2796c6970431edd40262e76e98d56b6c6bb0a6ce5e57fa31dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PCIFIC of Forsaken, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Forsaken | 43c | 4,890$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.52 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PCIFIC | 57c | 1,992$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.43 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed PCIFIC | 52c | 1,279$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.16 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Forsaken | 49c | 1,087$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.74 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Forsaken | 48c | 1,000$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.33 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked PCIFIC | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed PCIFIC | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked PCIFIC | 52c | 913.08$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.35 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Forsaken | 45c | 879.26$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.73 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed PCIFIC | 48c | 871.26$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.06 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Forsaken | 44c | 813.72$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.04 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PCIFIC | 56c | 726.47$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PCIFIC | 50c | 710.07$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.14 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Forsaken | 48c | 630.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked PCIFIC | 59c | 568.57$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.11 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked PCIFIC | 54c | 548$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.08 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed PCIFIC | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked PCIFIC | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked PCIFIC | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked PCIFIC | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed PCIFIC | 58c | 499.98$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed PCIFIC | 57c | 493.3$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Forsaken | 53c | 359$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked PCIFIC | 47c | 330$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Forsaken | 57c | 320.45$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed PCIFIC | 51c | 270$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked PCIFIC | 47c | 252.35$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked PCIFIC | 56c | 227.02$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Forsaken | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed PCIFIC | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 392 | 51.3%201 W · 191 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Forsaken | 51c | 174.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Forsaken | 52c | 170.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked PCIFIC | 63c | 159.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed PCIFIC | 57c | 155$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Forsaken | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 423 | 48.2%204 W · 219 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed PCIFIC | 57c | 114.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked PCIFIC | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Forsaken | 50c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed PCIFIC | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Forsaken | 50c | 103$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked PCIFIC | 51c | 99.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 197 | 35%69 W · 128 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed PCIFIC | 36c | 93.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed PCIFIC | 54c | 75.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked PCIFIC | 43c | 66.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Forsaken | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…9b3dbacked Forsaken | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Forsaken | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed PCIFIC | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed Forsaken | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked PCIFIC | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed PCIFIC | 56c | 43.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed PCIFIC | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Forsaken | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Forsaken | 46c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 268 | 56.7%152 W · 116 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Forsaken | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed PCIFIC | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…6b77backed Forsaken | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Forsaken | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…2391backed PCIFIC | 51c | 27.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Forsaken | 47c | 22.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Forsaken | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BForsaken won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.