Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd54ca919c17bd858b8ab303cf3214bf3469f1f51e814c39718296c29342c515f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 56c | 3,686$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.08 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 999.96$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Over | 41c | 690.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 41c | 688.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.56 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 567.74$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 44c | 555$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 31c | 503.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Over | 45c | 502$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.1 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…a60dbacked Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…7c8fbacked Over | 45c | 448.9$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 55c | 324$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.2 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 60c | 317.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.74 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 69c | 263.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 40c | 238.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.11 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 62c | 216.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 69c | 214.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Over | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Over | 56c | 162.1$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.32 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 45c | 139.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Over | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…359fbacked Under | 56c | 58.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…aeb6backed Over | 43c | 48.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 29c | 47.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Over | 46c | 30.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Under | 57c | 18.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 335 | 63.3%212 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs PCIFIC (+1.5)PCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BForsaken won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerPCIFIC won
- LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.