Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x549d41aafbc7612b5d0b7c717ffb788186cb742890593d5ac010ebe87d0b2781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof CITA Kaizen, Partizan Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked CITA Kaizen | 15c | 3,108$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.66 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed CITA Kaizen | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 548 | 24.3%133 W · 415 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…6a04backed CITA Kaizen | 26c | 401.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked CITA Kaizen | 8c | 298.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 215 | 30.7%66 W · 149 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Partizan Sangal | 78c | 218.18$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,912 | 37.1%709 W · 1,203 L | -115.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Partizan Sangal | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 113 | 61.9%70 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Partizan Sangal | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 125.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed CITA Kaizen | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CITA Kaizen | 19c | 76.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe703…37ddbacked Partizan Sangal | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Partizan Sangal | 69c | 53.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Partizan Sangal | 77c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Partizan Sangal | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bf1ebacked CITA Kaizen | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 697 | 46.8%326 W · 371 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked Partizan Sangal | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…d6fcbacked Partizan Sangal | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 158 | 71.5%113 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…3ed5backed Partizan Sangal | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Partizan Sangal | 75c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.