Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46aee6f8ca0fa1a9af7fd5d709991f5d1faeff7ce0d569e431d491f9e1b13b3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof CITA Kaizen, Partizan Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked CITA Kaizen | 23c | 4,200$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Partizan Sangal | 71c | 1,542$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.78 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…76bcbacked CITA Kaizen | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Partizan Sangal | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed CITA Kaizen | 35c | 437.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed CITA Kaizen | 50c | 389.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CITA Kaizen | 5c | 347.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Partizan Sangal | 61c | 327.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 252 | 56.3%142 W · 110 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked CITA Kaizen | 24c | 236.78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Partizan Sangal | 59c | 229.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Partizan Sangal | 46c | 217.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked CITA Kaizen | 54c | 207.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Partizan Sangal | 52c | 200$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed CITA Kaizen | 27c | 197.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Partizan Sangal | 54c | 170.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.02 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked CITA Kaizen | 31c | 156.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae8…e1b3backed Partizan Sangal | 79c | 154.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Partizan Sangal | 72c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Partizan Sangal | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Partizan Sangal | 71c | 138.37$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked CITA Kaizen | 9c | 124.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 212 | 31.1%66 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CITA Kaizen | 14c | 118.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…357bbacked CITA Kaizen | 44c | 113.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CITA Kaizen | 11c | 112.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed CITA Kaizen | 34c | 83.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed CITA Kaizen | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Partizan Sangal | 55c | 67.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CITA Kaizen | 27c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Partizan Sangal | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Partizan Sangal | 71c | 46.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked CITA Kaizen | 38c | 40.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Partizan Sangal | 59c | 35.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbac…87c5backed Partizan Sangal | 68c | 34.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…c0b8backed CITA Kaizen | 42c | 33.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Partizan Sangal | 58c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Partizan Sangal | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Partizan Sangal | 57c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.