Lol · resolved market
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea7d79e4d9ed03dc14dd7e196beda83908eb07c0d55a0eca98e3cf2fae7ad65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof CITA Kaizen, Partizan Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked CITA Kaizen | 8c | 13,189$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.16 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Partizan Sangal | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed CITA Kaizen | 22c | 1,388$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Partizan Sangal | 75c | 1,221$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.32 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked CITA Kaizen | 16c | 738.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed CITA Kaizen | 19c | 615.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Partizan Sangal | 64c | 506.33$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.85 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Partizan Sangal | 60c | 418.76$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked CITA Kaizen | 23c | 387.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Partizan Sangal | 80c | 377.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked CITA Kaizen | 31c | 303.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…ae9fbacked Partizan Sangal | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 245 | 63.7%156 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Partizan Sangal | 60c | 208.39$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Partizan Sangal | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Partizan Sangal | 77c | 108.05$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 106.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed CITA Kaizen | 16c | 101.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe896…a4c7backed Partizan Sangal | 77c | 99.3$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 279 | 62.4%174 W · 105 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Partizan Sangal | 72c | 96.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed CITA Kaizen | 23c | 65.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +13.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CITA Kaizen | 22c | 64.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b3…a28dbacked Partizan Sangal | 75c | 59.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 180 | 65%117 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Partizan Sangal | 78c | 40.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked CITA Kaizen | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…6d22backed Partizan Sangal | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Partizan Sangal | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Partizan Sangal | 66c | 33.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Partizan Sangal | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…4829backed Partizan Sangal | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Partizan Sangal | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 222 | 39.6%88 W · 134 L | -21.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Partizan Sangal | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inthis page
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 1 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
- LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 WinnerPartizan Sangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.