Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab11cf243dc369758243834bb03b0499c812ca0237cbf0ab7d49efb8eeb34252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Starsof LOS, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed LOS | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 51c | 16,506$8,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,145.78 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 2,638$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.78 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed LOS | 48c | 2,053$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.99 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 805$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.58 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607b…b839backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 656$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked LOS | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 385.83$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 210$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…1a38backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 198.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 177.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…d48cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 159.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 275 | 40.4%111 W · 164 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 96.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 527 | 43.5%229 W · 298 L | +32.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked LOS | 46c | 96.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked LOS | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 514 | 54.5%280 W · 234 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 92.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…2745backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 120 | 30.8%37 W · 83 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked LOS | 48c | 92.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9045backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 50c | 84.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LOS | 48c | 50.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…5bc1backed LOS | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 49c | 31.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 52c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 46c | 22.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed LOS | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.