TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa7d2…5bc1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.05
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.02
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs G2 Esports (+2.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.71
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.2
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$25.79
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$18.03
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked Frites Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)backed RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)backed LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$69.13
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$88.93
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$43.16
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$14.61
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.57
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.01
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$19.5
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.21
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.79
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$18.85
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.31
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$51.73
Will United States win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$40.8
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.38
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$23.15
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.45
Will Canada win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.17
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.