TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$155,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,957

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed No62c99,999$61,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,022.6829446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c31,943$12,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,962.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes39c22,415$8,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,683.22,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaee…c167backed Yes38c10,526$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Yes38c6,658$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.235543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c6,128$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes39c4,668$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.9565058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes53c4,275$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.795,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes38c3,795$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.231,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes39c3,608$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.5333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No61c2,759$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.5342250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes38c2,576$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.7816653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed Yes36c2,300$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8281361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No61c1,811$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.655164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes38c1,800$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68419952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes38c1,697$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.7645253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes38c1,654$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.5242962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No62c1,598$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.662875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes67c1,422$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.5125866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes38c1,400$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53223057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,400$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50416558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No33c1,343$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.421,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No36c1,300$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.3799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed Yes39c1,259$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Yes10c1,130$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.48728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+104.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked No66c1,100$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3744544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No41c1,025$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.93,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Yes68c1,010$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes38c1,008$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.062,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38011855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c963.63$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.651,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No60c920$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes38c777$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.2622853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c686.89$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.119559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes25c596.53$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.843444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes69c580.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes38c518.58$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.068955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes38c402.24$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.851,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes31c400$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e1…9305backed Yes3c397.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No28c344.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.088268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes30c325.46$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c320$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.221358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9535…ccdcbacked No35c313.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+188.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5148922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes70c288$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.681,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes71c281.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c270.93$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.811,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x515d…cd32backed Yes41c268.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No71c259.91$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.061,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No59c251$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4bd…0ce0backed No80c249.39$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Yes41c228.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.323158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No78c212.18$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.051,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x544f…3ca1backed Yes39c211.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+67.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No63c201.03$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.231,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No60c201$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.43844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218140.3%73 W · 108 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes24c196.15$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes38c181$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7813828.3%39 W · 99 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes46c178.74$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e4a…5ba6backed No35c177.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.141030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed No35c171.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.432948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes38c161.88$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0912948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes59c161.33$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Yes36c160.12$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.296350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes33c159.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed Yes37c159.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9470%0 W · 7 L-4.0wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes39c150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7570055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No59c149.16$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2110158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Yes38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e56…8243backed Yes38c126.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…f02fbacked Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No29c123.28$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.53348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes39c120.81$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8678756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes42c112$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8220958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes35c103.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.432544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Yes39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No60c97.78$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1133266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No59c97.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9822058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Yes38c94.42$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Yes65c92.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes40c90.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee0…d74abacked Yes33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b2…4171backed No64c84.19$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.31683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+44.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes66c82.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.621,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed Yes61c81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…d9b8backed Yes38c77.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes39c76.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes40c76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4709backed Yes39c74.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x022e…e2c2backed No64c73.72$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.