Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x653f08aa73a28786328543b8b064dc0938380006ea0b66ce02d67794de04cf32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RED Canidsof RED Canids, Fluxo W7M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed RED Canids | 45c | 8,362$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,624.65 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.99 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 3,221$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.11 | 649 | 43.1%280 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed RED Canids | 45c | 3,060$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.94 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Fluxo W7M | 54c | 3,020$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.03 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4a…df23backed Fluxo W7M | 53c | 2,129$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 1,378$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.67 | 650 | 47.4%308 W · 342 L | +24.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed RED Canids | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.56 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked RED Canids | 45c | 1,023$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a1…802ebacked RED Canids | 46c | 1,000$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked RED Canids | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 648 | 49.8%323 W · 325 L | -25.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked RED Canids | 46c | 895$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.35 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed RED Canids | 46c | 850$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.05 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Fluxo W7M | 51c | 545$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 517.21$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.52 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed RED Canids | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Fluxo W7M | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed RED Canids | 47c | 494.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.34 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked RED Canids | 46c | 270$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 364 | 46.4%169 W · 195 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed RED Canids | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked RED Canids | 45c | 242$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Fluxo W7M | 57c | 239.67$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.61 | 393 | 42.2%166 W · 227 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed RED Canids | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Fluxo W7M | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed RED Canids | 44c | 221.53$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Fluxo W7M | 56c | 219.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.19 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 153.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5423…8b45backed RED Canids | 46c | 108.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed RED Canids | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked RED Canids | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…5bc1backed RED Canids | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Fluxo W7M | 56c | 54.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d6…54e8backed RED Canids | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed RED Canids | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 335 | 63.3%212 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 376 | 50%188 W · 188 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked RED Canids | 45c | 30.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fluxo W7M | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed RED Canids | 78c | 28.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked RED Canids | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: RED (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 WinnerRED Canids won
- LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 WinnerRED Canids won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.