TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOSof LOS, paiN Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,316
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,316 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN Gaming48c44,725$21,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,461.91,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed LOS54c30,000$16,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,799.9891854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed LOS50c7,347$3,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.4116155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4f8…4de0backed LOS50c6,150$3,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,075250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed paiN Gaming45c5,723$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600.231,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked paiN Gaming51c3,172$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.931,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed LOS50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25024642.3%104 W · 142 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed paiN Gaming50c2,432$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.781,20743.5%525 W · 682 L-14.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed paiN Gaming46c2,312$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.657648.7%37 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked paiN Gaming49c2,212$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.771,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed paiN Gaming51c2,090$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.7464443%277 W · 367 L-27.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked LOS51c1,800$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.849750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7a…98eebacked LOS56c1,772$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed LOS50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7001,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed LOS49c1,383$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.951,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOS49c1,377$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.862,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked LOS50c1,126$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56357246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked LOS49c1,041$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7744743.6%195 W · 252 L+1.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked LOS50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5007451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed LOS53c938.11$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.331,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked paiN Gaming50c873.2$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7214228.2%40 W · 102 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOS50c844$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42239266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked paiN Gaming46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3683429.4%10 W · 24 L-5.7wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked LOS50c660$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33027142.4%115 W · 156 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed LOS50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007631.6%24 W · 52 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked paiN Gaming46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27617438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed LOS50c544.08$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0416645.8%76 W · 90 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb6…50fcbacked paiN Gaming50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc182…1339backed LOS50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015243.4%66 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked LOS49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25540741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed LOS48c499.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.991,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LOS49c495.95$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.935639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8144…8472backed LOS54c467.18$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.910443.3%45 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed paiN Gaming50c443.66$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.2610546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed LOS50c431.09$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.555657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7253…0558backed LOS50c389.34$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6718236.8%67 W · 115 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed LOS49c383.87$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7722536.9%83 W · 142 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed paiN Gaming49c336.43$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8512840.6%52 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked LOS50c326.52$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2663944.6%285 W · 354 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed LOS49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1228250%141 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffb1…13e7backed LOS54c303.22$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed paiN Gaming51c295$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.459742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LOS50c284$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14280832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd939…9045backed paiN Gaming49c244.2$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.785438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed LOS50c234$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11792342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed paiN Gaming49c231.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.51,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc4…d48cbacked paiN Gaming49c230.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3327540.4%111 W · 164 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN Gaming45c229.98$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.41,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866f…77d3backed paiN Gaming34c224.48$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked paiN Gaming46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.214837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed LOS49c213.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0134756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c88…0e4dbacked LOS47c212.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed LOS48c204.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1710947.7%52 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f00…2f63backed LOS50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed LOS50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006738.8%26 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed paiN Gaming51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed LOS49c199.95$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.971,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked paiN Gaming45c182.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked paiN Gaming50c175.16$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1728341%116 W · 167 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed paiN Gaming49c168.74$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2820631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0201backed LOS50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed LOS50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed paiN Gaming52c135.97$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.711854.2%64 W · 54 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed paiN Gaming45c134$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2710150.5%51 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5353…649cbacked paiN Gaming50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617347.9%35 W · 38 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed paiN Gaming51c121.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c6e…1ebfbacked paiN Gaming51c107.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.058243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed paiN Gaming24c105.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3522758.1%132 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed paiN Gaming62c105.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.381,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed LOS50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5030151.5%155 W · 146 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed paiN Gaming50c95.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5176028.9%220 W · 540 L-0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked LOS49c91.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.843046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3335…f6debacked LOS50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4211559.1%68 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed paiN Gaming49c81.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb3…9e69backed LOS50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed LOS55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.48657%49 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…91febacked LOS50c77.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.631040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed paiN Gaming49c76.34$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.287452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e4…9bacbacked LOS51c66.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7624949.8%124 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c8…f5c6backed paiN Gaming51c60.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed LOS50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309844.9%44 W · 54 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked paiN Gaming49c59.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2923330%70 W · 163 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed LOS50c58.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3958155.6%323 W · 258 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17d8…0023backed paiN Gaming50c58.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5218547%87 W · 98 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6505…1feebacked LOS54c55.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7114557.2%83 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x097c…630abacked LOS50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed LOS50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257544%33 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked LOS50c49.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.727356.8%155 W · 118 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed paiN Gaming51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.237650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5575…c56dbacked LOS50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked paiN Gaming51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked LOS50c31.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7119148.7%93 W · 98 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d2…5bc1backed LOS50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked paiN Gaming53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed paiN Gaming50c24.38$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.36152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed LOS48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4821054.8%115 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5acf…b102backed LOS53c23.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b7…3852backed LOS50c23.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.795265.4%34 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed LOS49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7145841.5%190 W · 268 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed paiN Gaming52c20.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4797854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.