Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3776e7e7b5c327df1be3b8d5499e91524cc2019d8127249a278c98ae6200a4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Algeriaof Netherlands, Algeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Algeria | 45c | 12,858$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,121.33 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands | 41c | 12,332$5,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.63 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Algeria | 62c | 9,466$5,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,603.42 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Algeria | 49c | 6,581$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,387.24 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Algeria | 48c | 6,497$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.88 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands | 33c | 2,776$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.61 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47b…7b14backed Algeria | 44c | 2,005$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Netherlands | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Netherlands | 43c | 1,928$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.38 | 264 | 59.5%157 W · 107 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Algeria | 48c | 1,764$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.37 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Netherlands | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Algeria | 69c | 1,443$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Algeria | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Netherlands | 52c | 1,285$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.2 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Netherlands | 28c | 1,220$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.6 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Netherlands | 59c | 1,198$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.78 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe2…9645backed Netherlands | 48c | 1,038$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Netherlands | 48c | 1,032$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Netherlands | 51c | 1,012$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Netherlands | 57c | 999.98$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Algeria | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Netherlands | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Algeria | 47c | 873.9$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.99 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Algeria | 66c | 873.65$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.65 | 110 | 40%44 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Netherlands | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Netherlands | 58c | 858.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Netherlands | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Netherlands | 53c | 720.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Netherlands | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Algeria | 47c | 602.23$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.89 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed Netherlands | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Netherlands | 54c | 600$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Netherlands | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Netherlands | 57c | 599.91$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.95 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Algeria | 50c | 570.65$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.44 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Netherlands | 58c | 519.97$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.58 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Netherlands | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Netherlands | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0c…a1aabacked Algeria | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Netherlands | 44c | 499.7$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.64 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Netherlands | 46c | 487.01$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Netherlands | 51c | 480.39$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Algeria | 47c | 477.08$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Netherlands | 41c | 463.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.45 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked Algeria | 43c | 423.33$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.3 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Netherlands | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -8.8wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…2242backed Netherlands | 47c | 413.16$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.5 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Algeria | 47c | 407.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Netherlands | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Netherlands | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…40adbacked Netherlands | 25c | 399.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Algeria | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Algeria | 63c | 372.01$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.28 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Netherlands | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Netherlands | 53c | 368.13$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Algeria | 53c | 361.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Netherlands | 29c | 361.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Netherlands | 47c | 347.72$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Netherlands | 55c | 343.21$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff53…f5ecbacked Netherlands | 51c | 304.38$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.23 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Netherlands | 52c | 300$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Netherlands | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Algeria | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Netherlands | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed Netherlands | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Algeria | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 281 | 64.1%180 W · 101 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…11c0backed Netherlands | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Netherlands | 55c | 298.54$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.58 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Netherlands | 49c | 272.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Netherlands | 55c | 260$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Netherlands | 57c | 249.96$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.65 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Algeria | 51c | 244.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Netherlands | 55c | 240$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 408 | 48.8%199 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…a782backed Netherlands | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Netherlands | 55c | 234$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Netherlands | 51c | 231.22$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…af1bbacked Algeria | 49c | 206.12$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.12 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Algeria | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Netherlands | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4f…3216backed Algeria | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…8821backed Netherlands | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…6da4backed Netherlands | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Algeria | 55c | 174.5$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Netherlands | 55c | 160$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Netherlands | 55c | 156$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Netherlands | 55c | 156$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Algeria | 51c | 155.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.18 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Netherlands | 55c | 140$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Netherlands | 51c | 125.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Netherlands | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Algeria | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 150 | 60%90 W · 60 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Netherlands | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked Netherlands | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 138 | 38.4%53 W · 85 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Netherlands | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Netherlands | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Netherlands | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 336 | 53.3%179 W · 157 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Netherlands | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Netherlands | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 343 | 51.9%178 W · 165 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Netherlands | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Netherlands | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)this page
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.