Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d2bd7765502ac22e9da1e53aa42be89bf4b7d0a1500f5627145f1f57883b97c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Algeriaof Netherlands, Algeria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Netherlands | 29c | 12,220$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.77 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Algeria | 75c | 7,476$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Algeria | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Algeria | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Algeria | 69c | 1,460$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Netherlands | 24c | 1,199$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.29 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Netherlands | 6c | 918.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Algeria | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…80f6backed Netherlands | 33c | 599.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Algeria | 72c | 394.71$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.51 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Netherlands | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Algeria | 69c | 302.58$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Netherlands | 34c | 299.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Algeria | 71c | 272.2$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Algeria | 73c | 231$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…cbadbacked Algeria | 76c | 185.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Algeria | 72c | 169.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Netherlands | 24c | 162.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Algeria | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Algeria | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 87 | 66.7%58 W · 29 L | +12.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Algeria | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Netherlands | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Netherlands | 22c | 108.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Netherlands | 27c | 107.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Algeria | 71c | 106.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Algeria | 69c | 104.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Netherlands | 24c | 103.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Algeria | 68c | 94.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Algeria | 68c | 74.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Netherlands | 20c | 73.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Algeria | 69c | 71.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…b28bbacked Netherlands | 17c | 70.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 261 | 33.3%87 W · 174 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Netherlands | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Algeria | 73c | 62.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Algeria | 78c | 60.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Algeria | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Algeria | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Netherlands | 32c | 46.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Algeria | 72c | 44.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Algeria | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Algeria | 70c | 32.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 235 | 52.8%124 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Algeria | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…64a4backed Algeria | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Algeria | 65c | 27.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Algeria | 65c | 27.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Algeria | 68c | 20.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 360 | 45.3%163 W · 197 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…a5dfbacked Algeria | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…fe29backed Algeria | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Algeria | 75c | 19.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 187 | 64.2%120 W · 67 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Algeria | 69c | 16.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Algeria | 77c | 16.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Algeria | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Algeria | 76c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)this page
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.