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Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,520

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under55c22,503$12,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,107.151,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x890e…db10backed Over45c21,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,449.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over27c13,553$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.8112146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c5,439$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.994,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Under74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.0817034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under59c4,575$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.722,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c3,505$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.543,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over26c1,943$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0819038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under16c1,875$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,57516116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under54c1,587$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.9935549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under63c1,518$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.021968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c1,500$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.8710438.5%40 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under57c1,398$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.0743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Under55c1,134$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.465364.2%34 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over24c1,030$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over70c983.27$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.2911147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under80c858.72$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over23c832.28$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4316331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under79c765.51$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.516432.8%21 W · 43 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under24c700$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53431553%167 W · 148 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Over68c614.38$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.958643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under37c602.86$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.7541451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under18c541.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.153,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Over27c515$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.862236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under66c510.18$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.52,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Under20c499.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9917218.6%32 W · 140 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Over69c472$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0211238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under18c439.68$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.5444539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Under12c409.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3713268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c373.06$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.843,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over57c346.35$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.422839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under72c336.65$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2615646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over23c300$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over80c298$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-6.4wins-0.24per pick68cpaid-39.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xfef3…41f2backed Under76c274.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.854645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over22c264$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under16c240$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.623732.1%76 W · 161 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under68c233.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.11,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8770…43b0backed Over49c201.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Under13c200.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5833…4893backed Over68c199.99$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.998170.4%57 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under19c194.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.672,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under21c181.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.74727.7%13 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.112636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under18c166.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5884844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under58c159.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8832055.9%179 W · 141 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over54c138$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5216535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over36c136.07$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c135.36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.641,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under19c134.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.771,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under12c134.08$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.2817535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over26c129.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3523345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Under50c111.95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9817447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over24c103.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8128240.8%115 W · 167 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6347…b0febacked Over68c102.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.53560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Over80c100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806671.2%47 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Over67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671050%5 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over23c90$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.427028.9%78 W · 192 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Under63c87.3$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.321226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf59b…7ab0backed Under59c83.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.713852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over19c80$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27850%39 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7978…dad7backed Over51c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over41c75.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3116547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under64c74.8$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7211852.5%62 W · 56 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Under72c73.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.737163.4%45 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3443…1ccabacked Over77c67.53$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over37c66.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under55c61.82$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8223658.1%137 W · 99 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Under19c57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1726631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d6…6f49backed Over80c53.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under71c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3319946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d2…abfbbacked Under76c50.31$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.324148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over59c40$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.422052.3%115 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over80c37.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9639…2823backed Over56c37$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Over33c35.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8811450.9%58 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under80c33.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.731353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0846…b540backed Over53c33.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.69048.9%44 W · 46 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c9…0d57backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd881…af24backed Under59c31.81$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0422450.4%113 W · 111 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd1…32b7backed Under79c28.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Under47c26.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9311448.2%55 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over55c25.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.914647.3%69 W · 77 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8687…1db0backed Under55c23.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.554831.3%15 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed Under63c23.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5718764.2%120 W · 67 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a0…6e74backed Under78c21.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.825580%44 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1171…16cfbacked Over70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146355.6%35 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Under77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.62755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over55c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under64c16$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.761,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ce…41acbacked Under64c15.87$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.713265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…760ebacked Under75c14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.56555.4%36 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.