Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab9a4e77c0a3f6370652507662c0e39e4bc5dda2f944b674ca1fd7fe63d0a264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 31c | 9,723$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.45 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Over | 80c | 7,002$5,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 16c | 6,138$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 13c | 3,636$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 4c | 3,073$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.04 | 161 | 16.1%26 W · 135 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 65c | 2,500$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.99 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 17c | 2,108$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.16 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 13c | 1,511$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 8c | 1,127$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.63 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 79c | 1,043$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 4c | 684$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 35c | 680.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.25 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 40c | 599.51$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 71c | 423.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 399.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.99 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ac…7409backed Over | 79c | 392.46$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.51 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 80c | 356$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 157 | 63.7%100 W · 57 L | +16.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Under | 31c | 272.87$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.34 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Under | 24c | 244.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 64c | 215.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 71c | 203$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Under | 50c | 202.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Under | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…3385backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 51c | 169.23$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Over | 67c | 149.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Under | 20c | 146.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 50c | 138.18$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 70c | 111.82$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 21c | 107.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef3…41f2backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 80c | 93.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…74d2backed Over | 50c | 58.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 45c | 55.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 50c | 50.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 21c | 48.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 341 | 44.3%151 W · 190 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Over | 48c | 41.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 55c | 35.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce38…2513backed Over | 64c | 31.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Over | 54c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…16cfbacked Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.