Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9074e83b1a523180074ed9330950629b73e07d2c58a59c082804ee9a6881c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 43c | 13,513$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.61 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 7,759$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 57c | 7,018$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.54 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 43c | 6,914$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Under | 57c | 6,206$3,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.39 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 2,914$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Over | 43c | 2,551$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 1,522$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.66 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 42c | 1,515$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 72c | 1,319$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 6c | 1,034$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 28c | 1,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 38c | 684.16$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 522.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.8 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 42c | 479.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…b090backed Under | 60c | 343.82$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 43c | 336.09$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.52 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Under | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 153 | 64.7%99 W · 54 L | +13.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Under | 61c | 257.81$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.55 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…c70fbacked Under | 62c | 210.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 60c | 166.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked Under | 66c | 151.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…0ebbbacked Over | 40c | 149.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 137.54$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 39c | 132.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.64 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 63c | 128.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 126.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 119.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 61c | 103.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 64c | 100.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 40c | 100.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb724…577dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 65c | 99.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 59c | 99.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 147 | 66%97 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 31c | 74.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 233 | 45.1%105 W · 128 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed Under | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 28c | 69.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 42c | 59.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 43c | 53.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…4c57backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 436 | 53.7%234 W · 202 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…d4ccbacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 119 | 65.5%78 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0846…b540backed Over | 42c | 41.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 37.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Under | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 59c | 27.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Under | 58c | 26.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…9633backed Under | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 64c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5this page
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.