TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed Under36c7,500$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.755957.6%34 W · 25 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over5c2,714$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.462,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c2,663$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.054,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c2,373$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.153,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under45c2,183$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.7936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under37c2,140$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.4829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cac…1744backed Over62c1,762$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.841250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under46c1,729$802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.193,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over64c1,600$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02436250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2230…69e5backed Over55c1,333$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7301643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under63c1,276$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.4810848.1%52 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c1,159$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.372,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under29c1,075$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.8431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32aa…c56ebacked Under54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4603450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed3…2811backed Under75c987.15$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.79922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick59cpaid-70.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x38f8…cc9fbacked Over59c841.77$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over64c778.35$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c744.99$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.594,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c740.25$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.583,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over57c700$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014146.1%65 W · 76 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over52c661$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.7285851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked Under39c613.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37417042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c605.97$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.363,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over35c570.58$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5474034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over71c566$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under39c516.32$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.51,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa902…d159backed Over60c503.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004744.7%21 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Under38c500.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.257828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over54c418$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7228162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over53c415.84$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.46349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c410.89$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.653,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under38c401.07$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.4684844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Over64c400$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25638451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under40c380.39$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.2944539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e3…3792backed Over56c360$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.65549.1%27 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over49c335.85$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.493026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8537…0534backed Under66c334.45$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over63c315.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over42c299.04$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.821,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c277$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.352,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over72c276.3$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c274.13$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.31,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over41c273.09$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9733120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over71c264.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9435658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over60c257.96$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8541857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004139%16 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over64c234.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2538439.8%153 W · 231 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over16c215.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over59c214.77$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7517535.4%62 W · 113 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under45c213.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.513548.1%65 W · 70 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over64c208.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1448152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10470750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under38c199.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.991,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c190$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.92,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over27c181.19$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.223940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under43c179.07$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0710042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c177$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.181,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over61c172$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over64c160.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6341451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over64c160.36$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6335549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…ab05backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006830.9%21 W · 47 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under36c145.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.411,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over64c145.81$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3284751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Over64c140$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.637051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under40c134.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.992,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Under78c125.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over66c121.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.325865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over35c111.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4623345.1%105 W · 128 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over67c108$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.361,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc097…5b6fbacked Over61c98.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over61c95.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.476551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9e…208cbacked Over51c95.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.613943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over39c91.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.678750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013253%70 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92a9…ffd7backed Over59c85.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7603…7556backed Over62c78.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over62c77.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8656541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…3578backed Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c74.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9950450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Under24c68.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.88817%15 W · 73 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over76c68.01$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.887651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2897…0004backed Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under40c66$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9339746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over57c62.89$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8530836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under53c62.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.992,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under38c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8743653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Under41c54.78$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3716633.7%56 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb619…bdcabacked Under37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.053158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…4378backed Over56c53.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick35cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under41c51.77$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over58c49.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.922153.4%118 W · 103 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over64c46.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8935251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.