Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b5a1cafb433e513e985fddd430ffeb4c42b101daed5d96cffc7d8e51f8bb61a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 62c | 3,445$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.06 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 61c | 2,915$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.43 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…ab38backed Over | 38c | 2,600$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 61c | 1,700$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.97 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.98 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 39c | 1,389$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.42 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 39c | 1,320$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.2 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 39c | 1,012$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.33 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 62c | 573.77$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.74 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Over | 37c | 540$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Under | 63c | 406$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 38c | 379.02$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.02 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 37c | 358.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.89 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 39c | 326.56$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.2 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Over | 38c | 270.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Under | 50c | 255$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 50c | 253.08$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 60c | 237.45$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Over | 41c | 219.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.61 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 38c | 165$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 50c | 162.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 64c | 152.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 39c | 127.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 36c | 113.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…1ebfbacked Under | 50c | 92.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 39c | 84.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 38c | 68.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 39c | 63.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.49 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Over | 39c | 62.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 197 | 58.9%116 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Over | 38c | 43.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 36c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over | 39c | 38.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Over | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 62c | 21.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5)Vivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier PlayoffsVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars won
- LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 WinnerLOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.