TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,596
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,286

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,596 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x31cb…a34bbacked No49c10,723$5,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,253.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes66c7,146$4,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,411.372,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c5,112$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.755,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ddb…b423backed No54c3,052$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6505851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c2,789$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.351,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c2,516$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.888,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes52c1,986$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.1811855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked No56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.982657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.13955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes44c1,463$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.795143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No51c1,355$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.722,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d4…fe34backed Yes50c1,265$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes52c1,242$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.3113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No50c1,235$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.561,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No34c1,231$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.31,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No47c1,113$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1319952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes45c1,098$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.828447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad84…1897backed Yes52c1,052$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.0512439.5%49 W · 75 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,002$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3911565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes41c853.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.663928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No49c830.61$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4072875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c776.52$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.263,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Yes50c682$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3412347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3007852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No51c584.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c558.45$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.91,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes49c510$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes50c506.08$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.9813351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.774738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes47c462.22$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.228343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b0c…865cbacked Yes41c453.29$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes50c437.17$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.592045%9 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c411.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.881,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…a6c6backed Yes50c392.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No50c336$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes71c327.92$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1475949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Yes50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes46c299.27$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.979925.3%25 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes42c285.71$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes52c274.07$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.891,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes51c266.67$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.673852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No50c238.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.077060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e5…be5bbacked Yes51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.292556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6021…4c5cbacked Yes51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.291573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84c…5269backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563040%12 W · 18 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Yes44c227.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.931338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.27742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes45c220$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1213315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes43c204.65$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.652560%15 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6d…6b36backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5370…84adbacked Yes48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-39.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes66c198.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No50c194.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…4094backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc12…c741backed Yes52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.22568%17 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked No50c185.14$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.574969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes65c181.6$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1451945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes53c181.13$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.133948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Yes59c170.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.188858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No52c168.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2513248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0591…4247backed Yes43c158.14$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.14580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+74.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No50c153.32$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.181,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c153$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Yes53c150.75$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.852951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes52c138.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.513243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes50c126.9$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.935234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c117.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.791,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes50c115.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.632040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d2…b717backed Yes50c112$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ef…4a40backed Yes53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Yes53c109.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435026%13 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed No50c109.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdada…4e86backed Yes47c106.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x573c…c365backed No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2a…2ba0backed Yes44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes51c99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5122853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No50c98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…9ac0backed Yes52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8345…5928backed No54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bce…4b01backed Yes52c88.93$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No50c88.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe906…aa69backed Yes50c83.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.934348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed No26c78.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.241931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No26c76.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.087748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c75.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.991,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd7…c673backed Yes50c72.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Yes47c69.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee11…19a9backed No40c69.74$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.642955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.187655.3%42 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.