South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf3a81462ab8b3e302401fc65e795fa54b8ecff24f182ccf677bf047fb72653
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 68c | 5,060$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.61 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 13c | 1,977$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes | 29c | 1,462$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.92 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 16c | 375.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 9c | 335.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 27c | 222.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 200.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 72c | 171.58$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 17c | 164.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 138.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 127.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 126.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 79c | 103.13$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 71c | 102.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 10c | 102.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 98.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 88.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 15c | 77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Yes | 16c | 69.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 61.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Yes | 49c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 59.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 55.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 69c | 50.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 39.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 28c | 36.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc80b…143fbacked No | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 73c | 25.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?Yes won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.