South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d0a3cb7aaecd5b5bf9c2a33d99878c9a0a4720c6defa519f1532382b21e0816
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 37c | 2,868$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 2,747$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over | 73c | 2,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.73 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,374$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.96 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 75c | 1,340$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 27c | 703$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.97 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 646.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 59c | 458.82$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 52c | 405.09$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…c06abacked Over | 73c | 271.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 75c | 260$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 241.22$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.31 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 78c | 240.8$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5370…84adbacked Over | 73c | 191.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 55c | 167.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 161.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c4…fe0abacked Over | 47c | 160.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc12…c741backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 25c | 128.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Under | 45c | 124.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 57c | 116.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Over | 53c | 115$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 71c | 110.11$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 53c | 104.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f7…c691backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 27c | 99.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…5c31backed Over | 76c | 86.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 53.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 73c | 49.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 49c | 41.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 77c | 38.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520c…51a8backed Over | 73c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 57c | 26.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 43c | 25.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 79c | 24.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 64c | 16.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.