South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b0acd6957a0725aff42f9887bba88a6e29d2ae1dff2e9385080d2f763a5cd6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2db1…a565backed Yes | 54c | 2,660$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 47c | 2,481$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.78 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f6…b0f2backed Yes | 52c | 1,332$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 955.64$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.83 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 52c | 654.57$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 47c | 428.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 53c | 367.3$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 54c | 299.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 34c | 290.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 259.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked No | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 54c | 186.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 183.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.19 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 156.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed No | 60c | 155.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 47c | 136.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 77.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 46c | 70.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 64.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 33c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 49c | 39.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 51c | 29.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed No | 48c | 26.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 52c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…fa8dbacked No | 46c | 25.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.