South American Leagues · resolved market
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x813e44dbdf152210a87bb59b46ea47c35efc6f850e8c2d08d66b876d07f53b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 5,866$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,281.22 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.73 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 55c | 1,031$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 55c | 1,031$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.5 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.65 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 46c | 999.97$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 926.31$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.73 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 54c | 613.27$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.17 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 595.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.21 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 540.93$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.93 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 44c | 536.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.99 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 46c | 467.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.7 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 400$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.9 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 372.03$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.04 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 46c | 321.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 46c | 298$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 33c | 280.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.32 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 45c | 250.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.72 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 16c | 233.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 16c | 177.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 156.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 152$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 149.14$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 45c | 136.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 64c | 102.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 31c | 79.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 32c | 78.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…6210backed Over | 56c | 73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 63c | 71.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 42c | 70.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…7022backed Over | 46c | 70.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 43c | 58.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 57c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 60c | 55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 31c | 50.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 49.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 46c | 49.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 57c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 55c | 36.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 47c | 32.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed3…50fdbacked Under | 50c | 29.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Under | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Over | 46c | 26.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 26.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…0193backed Over | 43c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 57c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 74c | 19.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7d…9b6cbacked Over | 68c | 16.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 61 | 72.1%44 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.