South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a36330863afb6424eae68d4aef1dc52421f1c72b562c546d24d9e036e4ee61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Bull Bragantinoof CR Vasco da Gama, Red Bull Bragantino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7138…8c89backed CR Vasco da Gama | 22c | 1,200$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Red Bull Bragantino | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 944.81$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.75 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Bull Bragantino | 78c | 831.21$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.23 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Red Bull Bragantino | 78c | 825$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked CR Vasco da Gama | 22c | 454.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 14.5%18 W · 106 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 119.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Red Bull Bragantino | 77c | 85.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed CR Vasco da Gama | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 77.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Red Bull Bragantino | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed CR Vasco da Gama | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed CR Vasco da Gama | 22c | 49.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Red Bull Bragantino | 79c | 33.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Red Bull Bragantino | 79c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Red Bull Bragantino | 78c | 22.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 77c | 21.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CR Vasco da Gama (-1.5)this page
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5Over won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 3.5Under won
- CR Vasco da Gama vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.